Surprisingly, rice and corn production in Indonesia for the year 2025-26 is anticipated to recover to normal levels after rising in the earlier year due to climatic disturbances, as reported by the Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) of the US Department of Agriculture.
In 2024-25, corn production is anticipated to be nearly 13.2 million tonnes, a rise of 3.9% from the previous year. For the 2025-26 crop year, production is anticipated at 13.6 million tonnes on increased harvested area and enhanced yields. Interestingly, feed mills are using more corn in feed formulations, reducing wheat for feed consumption due to the increase in supply. Feed mills are evaluated in 2024-25 to produce a total of 21.4 million tonnes of poultry feed, whereas aquaculture feed is evaluated at 1.8 million tonnes.
Notably, in 2025-26, Poultry feed production is anticipated to rise 3% to 23.3 million tonnes, whereas aquafeed will be at 1.8 million tonnes. Furthermore, the FAS stated that “Higher local corn production that led to softening prices in 2024-25 will offer feed mills the avenues to intensify the corn usage in their feed formulation to 48% from the preliminary estimate of 45% to 46%. Presuming enhanced corn production, feed mills estimate that corn usage in feed formulation can rise to 50% in 2025-26.”
Interestingly, the FAS estimates that 2024-25 paddy production will slightly diminish to 53.7 million tonnes in comparison to the previous estimate. Farmers will begin the first crop cycle of 2025-26 in late October to November 2025. From January to August 2025, the paddy production is expected to expand 14% to 43.3 million tonnes compared with 38 million tonnes during the same period in 2024. In 2025-26, Wheat imports are anticipated to recover by 4.8% to 11 million tonnes. Since banning feed wheat imports, Indonesian wheat imports in 2024-25 are estimated to reduce by 19% to a total of 10.5 million tonnes in comparison to 13.015 million tonnes imported in 2023-24. Indonesian wheat demand from flour mills is expected to stay strong, including higher demand from bakeries, biscuit manufacturers, small and medium enterprises, and households.