Indian farmers are set to expand wheat sowing by about 5% to a record high, aided by higher returns and October’s untimely rains, which has improved soil moisture and encouraged a shift from rainfed crops to be cereal. The higher wheat sowing is expected to help he world’s second-largest wheat producer boost output, ease local prices, and potentially enable New Delhi to permit limited exports of wheat flour.
Given the higher soil moisture at this time due to increased rainfall, wheat sowing and wheat production are expected to surpass all previous record highs said Nitin Gupta, senior vice president at Olam Agri India, an agicultural commodity trader. India’s key wheat production north-western region was inundated with 161% more rainfall than average in October, contributing to the country’s overall 49% surplus in the month. As of updated news, India wheat was planted across 6.62 million hectares as of Nov. 14, up 17% from a year earlier, according to data from the Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers’ Welfare. Wheat sowing for the 2025/26 season is expected to rise by about 5% from last year’s record 34.16 million hectares, based on an average estimate from eleven industry officials.
Wheat Sowing in the Key States is likely to shift from less-Thirsty crops
Wheat sowing in the key northern states of Haryana and Punjab, which benefit from reliable irrigation, is expected to remain steady, while farmers in Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan are likely to shift from less-Thirsty crops such as chickpea to wheat, industry officials said.
New Delhi’s decision to raise India wheat purchase price by 6.6% to 2,585 rupees per 100 kg for the new season crop is also expected to attract farmers to the cereal, Said Ajay Goyal, managing director of Shivaji Roller Flour Mills. India wheat supplies have improved since and in 2025 India wheat production reached at record 117.5 million metric tons.
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